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NFL Draft Analyses

20 years of contextual re-drafts • 1998-2023

About NFL Re-Drafts

NFL draft success is heavily dependent on situation. A quarterback behind a terrible offensive line will struggle regardless of talent. A receiver without a competent QB can't produce. Our analyses examine how landing spots — coaching, supporting cast, organizational culture — shape outcomes as much as raw ability.

Key Position Factors

Quarterbacks

  • • Offensive line quality
  • • Offensive coordinator system
  • • Skill position weapons
  • • Head coach stability

Skill Positions

  • • QB quality (for WRs/TEs)
  • • Scheme fit
  • • Target/touch opportunity
  • • O-line run blocking (RBs)

Defense

  • • Defensive coordinator scheme
  • • Surrounding talent
  • • Pass rush support (for DBs)
  • • Role clarity

All NFL Draft Analyses

2023

Bryce Young vs. The Rest

+63 (Stroud)

When Analytics Miss the Point

#1: Bryce Young (CAR)Read Analysis →
2022

Sauce Gardner's Lockdown

+40 (Sauce)

The Travon Walker Reach

#1: Travon Walker (JAX)Read Analysis →
2021

Trevor Lawrence's Test

+30 (Mac Jones)

The 'Generational' Class That Wasn't

#1: Trevor Lawrence (JAX)Read Analysis →
2020

Joe Burrow's Redemption

+23 (Herbert)

Three QBs, Two Superstars

#1: Joe Burrow (CIN)Read Analysis →
2019

Kyler vs. The Giants

+34 (Jones hypothetical)

Double-Dip Disaster

#1: Kyler Murray (ARI)Read Analysis →
2018

The Baker Draft

+57 (Lamar)

Five QBs, Four Busts?

#1: Baker Mayfield (CLE)Read Analysis →
2017

The Mahomes Draft

+53 (Mahomes)

Chicago's Biggest Miss

#1: Myles Garrett (CLE)Read Analysis →
2016

Goff vs. Wentz

+22 (Dak)

Trade That Defined Three Franchises

#1: Jared Goff (LAR)Read Analysis →
2014

Bortles, Manziel, Donald

+30 (Manziel hypothetical)

The Aaron Donald Masterclass

#1: Jadeveon Clowney (HOU)Read Analysis →
2012

Luck vs. RG3

+51 (Russell Wilson)

And the Guy Nobody Noticed

#1: Andrew Luck (IND)Read Analysis →
2011

Cam Newton's Gamble

+56 (Cam)

Pioneer Proves Doubters Wrong

#1: Cam Newton (CAR)Read Analysis →
2010

Bradford's Glass Body

+36 (Bradford hypothetical)

The Gronkowski Steal

#1: Sam Bradford (STL)Read Analysis →
2007

JaMarcus Russell

+45 (Adrian Peterson)

The Raiders Disaster

#1: JaMarcus Russell (OAK)Read Analysis →
2006

Reggie Bush vs. Mario Williams

+28 (Mario)

Houston's Controversial Choice

#1: Mario Williams (HOU)Read Analysis →
2005

The Rodgers Slide

+49 (Rodgers)

Draft That Created a Legend

#1: Alex Smith (SF)Read Analysis →
2004

Eli/Rivers/Ben

+22 (Ben)

Trade That Defined Three Franchises

#1: Eli Manning (SD→NYG)Read Analysis →
2001

LaDainian vs. Vick

+35 (Tomlinson)

Best RB Draft Ever?

#1: Michael Vick (ATL)Read Analysis →
2000

The Brady Problem

+45 (Brady)

What If Brady Went #1?

#1: Courtney Brown (CLE)Read Analysis →
1999

Edgerrin James vs. Ricky Williams

+40 (Edgerrin)

Ditka's Disaster Trade

#1: Tim Couch (CLE)Read Analysis →
1998

Peyton vs. Ryan Leaf

+70 (Peyton)

Most Obvious Re-Draft Ever

#1: Peyton Manning (IND)Read Analysis →