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What If They Went Somewhere Else?

Traditional re-drafts assume players are fixed assets. We calculate what happens when you factor in coaching, supporting cast, and team culture — for both NFL and NBA.

📊 All data and analysis through the 2024 NFL & NBA seasons

Context Changes Everything

NFL2000 Draft
QB

Tom Brady

Browns#1
Projected bust27
Patriots#199
Hall of Fame72

+45 point swing based on context

Full analysis →
NBA2013 Draft
SF

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Cavaliers#1
Blocked by Kyrie/Bennett42
Bucks#15
MVP, Champion78

+36 point swing based on context

Full analysis →

The Formula

Every player gets scored 0–100 based on 7 weighted factors. The same prospect in a different situation gets a completely different number.

20%
🛡️

Offensive Line

Pass protection & run blocking quality

20%
📈

QB Dev History

Does this franchise develop the position?

18%
📋

Play Caller (OC)

Scheme fit & coordinator track record

15%
🎯

Skill Weapons

Supporting cast — WRs, TEs, RBs around them

12%
🧠

Head Coach

Leadership, culture & player development

8%

Draft Pressure

Pick slot, expectations & media market

7%
🏛️

Ownership

Stability, investment & front office support

Full methodology breakdown →

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