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NBANovember 18, 2020

2020 NBA Draft

Edwards, LaMelo, and the COVID Draft That Delivered

The Scenario

Anthony Edwards went #1 to Minnesota — the franchise that ruined Wiggins. LaMelo Ball went #3 to Charlotte — a team with no direction. Both were questioned. Four years later: Edwards is a top-5 player. LaMelo is an All-Star. This class hit.

Analysis based on our NBA Methodology — weighing development infrastructure, roster fit, coaching, and market factors.
SG

Anthony Edwards

Pick #1 • Timberwolves

2x All-Star, All-NBA
C

James Wiseman

Pick #2 • Warriors

Bust
PG

LaMelo Ball

Pick #3 • Hornets

ROY, All-Star
THE FRANCHISE CHANGER

Anthony Edwards → Minnesota Timberwolves (#1)

85/100
FactorRatingWeightContribution
HC (Finch arrival)85/10015%12.8
Running Mate (KAT, then Gobert)80/10018%14.4
Culture Change85/10015%12.8
Personality Fit95/10015%14.3
Market (Small, hungry)80/10012%9.6
Development Path85/10015%12.8
New Ownership80/10010%8.0
TOTAL FIT SCORE84.6

What Happened

Everyone feared Minnesota would ruin another #1 pick. Instead, new ownership brought in Chris Finch, traded for Gobert, and built a winner. Edwards became the alpha dog, took them to the Western Conference Finals, and looked like a future MVP.Minnesota finally got it right. Ant's personality was too big to fail.

THE ENTERTAINER

LaMelo Ball → Charlotte Hornets (#3)

72/100
FactorRatingWeightContribution
HC (Borrego → Clifford)55/10015%8.3
Green Light95/10018%17.1
Playmaking Role90/10015%13.5
Supporting Cast50/10015%7.5
Market (Small)65/10012%7.8
Ownership (Jordan → new)50/10015%7.5
Injury Concerns45/10010%4.5
TOTAL FIT SCORE72.2

What Happened

LaMelo won ROY with flashy passes and deep threes. All-Star by year 2. Charlotte still isn't good, but that's not his fault — the roster around him has been inconsistent.His talent is undeniable. Whether Charlotte can build a winner around him is another question.

THE MISSED PICK

James Wiseman → Golden State Warriors (#2)

35/100
FactorRatingWeightContribution
HC (Steve Kerr)90/10012%10.8
System Fit (small ball)25/10020%5.0
Development Time (win-now)20/10020%4.0
Injuries25/10018%4.5
Role Clarity30/10015%4.5
Veteran Core40/10010%4.0
Experience Gap (3 college games)25/1005%1.3
TOTAL FIT SCORE35.2

What Happened

Golden State was in win-now mode with an aging core. They didn't have time to develop a raw center. Wiseman played 3 games in college, then spent years injured. Eventually traded for CP3. Wrong player for the situation. GS needed contributors, not projects.

The Draft Class

🟢

Ant (MIN)

85

WCF, All-NBA

🟢

LaMelo (CHA)

72

ROY, All-Star

🔴

Wiseman (GS)

35

Traded

+50

Point swing: Edwards vs. Wiseman — draft position doesn't guarantee development

The Verdict

Traditional Re-Draft Says:

"Edwards #1, LaMelo #2, Wiseman drops out of top 10"

Contextual Re-Draft Says:

"Edwards needed Minnesota's new direction. LaMelo needed the freedom Charlotte gave him. Wiseman needed a rebuilding team with patience — GSW was the worst fit possible."

Minnesota finally broke the curse with the right pick AND the right situation.Golden State's win-now timeline meant no room for development. Context saved Edwards. Context killed Wiseman.